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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | locuspm | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 17% (612–2921, n=3533) | 50% (1120–1127, n=2247) | 47% (14272–15777, n=30049) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | -$1.5M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #864 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (23 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (13 of 26 open) | 54% (46 of 85 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL ±0 pts, n=70 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 13% of 1003 at avg 13¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 87% (won 1% of 876) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 0% (won 40% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 1% (won 67% of 9) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 11% (won 98% of 113) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | locuspm | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $13K | Under $7.8K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $1.7K | Illinois $2.6K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $1.8K | Illinois $2.2K |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | Nevada $1.5K | New Mexico $2.4K |
| Spread: Illinois (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $15 | Illinois $3.2K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | Nevada $787 | New Mexico $1.5K |
| Spread: Illinois (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $663 | Illinois $1.5K |
| Spread: Illinois (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $272 | Illinois $1.5K |
| Spread: Illinois (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nebraska | — | — | Nebraska $1.1K | Illinois $416 |
| Spread: Illinois (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Nebraska | — | — | Nebraska $925 | Illinois $520 |
| Spread: Illinois (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $785 | Illinois $211 |
| Spread: Illinois (-10.5) same side · consensus Nebraska | — | — | Nebraska $527 | Nebraska $701 |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $850 | Over $311 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-6.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | — | Illinois $194 | Illinois $770 |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 35.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $142 | Over $112 |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $187 | Over $27 |