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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | locuspm | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 17% (612–2921, n=3533) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14272–15777, n=30049) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | -$1.5M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #864 | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (22 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (55 of 78 open) | 48% (32 of 66 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL ±0 pts, n=70 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 13% of 1003 at avg 13¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 87% (won 1% of 876) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 0% (won 40% of 5) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 1% (won 67% of 9) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 11% (won 98% of 113) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | locuspm | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $335K | — |