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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | locuspm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3322, n=7858) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 17% (612–2922, n=3534) | 48% (14165–15642, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | -$1.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #864 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 47% (15 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL ±0 pts, n=70 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 13% of 1003 at avg 13¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 87% (won 1% of 876) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 0% (won 40% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 1% (won 67% of 9) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 11% (won 98% of 113) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | locuspm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala | Antonia Ruzic $7.4K | — | — | Alexandra Eala $48K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton | Tommy Paul $27 | — | — | Ben Shelton $25K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $53K | — | — |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Mai Hontama | Mai Hontama $724 | — | — | Mai Hontama $11K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |