← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | peasant | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 62% (146–90, n=236) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.6M | $138K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #505 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 66% (137 of 209 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −6 pts, n=50 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 59% of 258 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 21% (won 11% of 54) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 17% (won 37% of 43) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 22% (won 63% of 56) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 41% (won 90% of 105) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | peasant | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $56K | — | — | No $30K |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $642K | — | — | No $6.5K |