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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primmverifly
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)34% (143–279, n=422)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.1M$3.6M-$331K
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #87PM monthly #52was PM monthly #874
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)69% (11 of 16 open)50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Esports −1 pts, n=404
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%35% of 409 at avg 36¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—5% (won 94% of 51)32% (won 21% of 129)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—41% (won 99% of 421)55% (won 41% of 225)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—49% (won 99% of 508)13% (won 43% of 54)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—5% (won 100% of 47)0% (won 0% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primmverifly
Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $2.8KWest Virginia $138—
Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $103West Virginia $953—
Wyoming vs. UNLV
same side · consensus Wyoming
—Wyoming $35KWyoming $33K—
Texas State vs. Oregon State
same side · consensus Texas State
—Texas State $19KTexas State $20K—