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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #87PM monthly #54PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)56% (18 of 32 open)no open consensus position64% (25 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026primmRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
—Adrian Mannarino $6.0K—Toby Samuel $15K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Borna Gojo $16K—Nikoloz Basilashvili $623
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Over $1.7K
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $627—Under $84
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $23K—Lorenzo Sonego $18K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Shevchenko
same side · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
—Jacob Fearnley $17K—Jacob Fearnley $11K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $7.9K—Claire Liu $12K
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21—Under $2.4K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $159—Falcons $1.6K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $434—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360