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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026gt7238RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11778–15356, n=27134)43% (570–764, n=1334)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M-$2.0K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #876PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)65% (11 of 17 open)33% (1 of 3 open)56% (18 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%100% of 480 at avg 52¢, ROI +48%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)7% (won 100% of 34)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)49% (won 100% of 234)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)24% (won 100% of 115)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)20% (won 100% of 97)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026gt7238RN1
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev
—Adrian Andreev $24K—Nikita Mashtakov $23K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K
Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B
opposite sides · consensus Xipto Esports
—HULIGANI $2.4KXipto Esports $121—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $7.1K—Ugo Humbert $3.7K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $2.0K—Cavaliers $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360