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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026HomelessnHoelessjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (136–127, n=263)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M-$96K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87was PM monthly #597PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)52% (15 of 29 open)74% (14 of 19 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Esports ±0 pts, n=234—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%53% of 252 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 17% of 12)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)33% (won 42% of 84)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)47% (won 57% of 119)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)15% (won 76% of 37)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026HomelessnHoelessjoseph00677
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus T1
—Bilibili Gaming $2.2KT1 $28—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96Bears $8.0K——
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.3KUnder $1.8K——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
—Bilibili Gaming $5Bilibili Gaming $14—