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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpnotprofitabl
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$1.4M$177K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #949
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)63% (10 of 16 open)67% (82 of 123 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpnotprofitabl
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $141Yes $2.8K—
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti
opposite sides · consensus Massimo Giunta
—Francesco Forti $220Massimo Giunta $609—
Hersonissos 3: Ryan Peniston vs Henry Searle
opposite sides · consensus Henry Searle
—Ryan Peniston $1Henry Searle $1—
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
—Cosme Rolland De Ravel $41KCosme Rolland De Ravel $3.3K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
—Cameron Norrie $15KCameron Norrie $12K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
—Alex Michelsen $14KAlex Michelsen $5.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—