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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | roldy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (22–16, n=38) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 55% (216–179, n=395) | 40% (4–6, n=10) |
| Consensus PnL | $837K | $421K | $290K | $3.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #43 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #630 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 63% (72 of 115 open) | 73% (8 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | roldy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $22K | — | Thunder $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Trail Blazers $676 | — | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | — | — | Senators $1.3K | Avalanche $3.1K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $133 | — | Thunder $3.7K | — |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Kraken | — | — | Kraken $862 | Hurricanes $912 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | — | Golden Knights $15K | Golden Knights $3.0K |
| Flyers vs. Oilers same side · consensus Oilers | — | — | Flyers $4.4K | Flyers $2.2K |
| Penguins vs. Sharks same side · consensus Penguins | — | — | Sharks $2.9K | Sharks $2.6K |
| Predators vs. Ducks same side · consensus Ducks | — | — | Ducks $2.2K | Ducks $80 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4 | Under $84 |