← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | Forecastication2 | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | no settled market | 54% (208–178, n=386) |
| Consensus PnL | $822K | $421K | — | $230K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #43 | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (8 of 16 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 66% (109 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | Forecastication2 | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Nets $260K | — | — | Pelicans $3.9K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $90K | — | — | Nuggets $5.1K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $10K | — | — | Nuggets $22K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $682 | — | — | Thunder $4.2K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $2 | — | — | Nuggets $37 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $166K | — | — | Spurs $9.3K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $831 | — | — | Nets $5.2K |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Over $4.0K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $279 | — | — | Grizzlies $764 |
| Jackson State Tigers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles same side · consensus Jackson State Tigers | — | — | Jackson State Tigers $119 | Jackson State Tigers $2 |