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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | errormargin | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 54% (199–170, n=369) | 52% (6475–6058, n=12533) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $46K | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #799 | PM monthly #13 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (28 of 37 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (225 of 323 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 93% of 255 at avg 63¢, ROI +19% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 56% of 9) | 29% (won 11% of 465) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 20% (won 86% of 51) | 16% (won 40% of 255) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 47% (won 95% of 120) | 16% (won 62% of 260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 29% (won 99% of 75) | 39% (won 94% of 637) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | errormargin | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $148K | — | Thunder $14K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $367 | — | Pelicans $1.7K |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $450 | — | Bucks $559 |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | — | Grizzlies $760 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $422 | — | Jazz $278 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Timberwolves $167 | — | Timberwolves $444 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $50 | — | Grizzlies $350 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $122 | — | Raptors $135 |