← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $72K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #388 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 62% (16 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI +13% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $34K | Yes $84K | — |