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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 49% (1129–1155, n=2284) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $72K | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #391 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI +13% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $37K | Yes $84K | — | — |