← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3300, n=7820) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (5–3, n=8) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $70K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #392 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (19 of 25 open) | 83% (25 of 30 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI +13% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $63K | Yes $82K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $56K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $62K | — | — |