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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (5–3, n=8) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 47% (14126–15613, n=29739) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $70K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #375 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (19 of 29 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (17 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 7 at avg 71¢, ROI +13% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 71% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | democraticbroom | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $90K | Yes $81K | — | — |