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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | brrrrother444 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | no settled market | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | — | $3.3M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #443 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (195 of 301 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 1 at avg 48¢, ROI +52% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 0% | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | brrrrother444 | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $321K | — | Pacers $3.1K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $31K | — | Pelicans $26 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $241 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $346 | — | Pacers $236 | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $70K | — | Jazz $597 | — |
| Hawks vs. Wizards same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $2.7K | — | Hawks $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $954 | — | Pistons $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | — | Hawks $374 | — |