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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 87% (129–19, n=148) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | -$57K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #992 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (157 of 189 open) | 38% (18 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 95% of 128 at avg 70¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 7% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 16% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 14% (won 94% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 63% (won 99% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $31K | Yes $21 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $27K | No $79 |