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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) | 79% (148–40, n=188) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $14.8M | -$57K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (30 of 44 open) | 43% (13 of 30 open) | 55% (151 of 274 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 9% (won 64% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 17% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 14% (won 94% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 61% (won 99% of 77) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | — | Yes $938 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | — | Yes $475 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $50K | — | Yes $127 |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $31K | — | No $112 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $4.2K | — | Yes $1.2K |