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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 87% (131–19, n=150) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | -$57K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #992 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (83 of 110 open) | 35% (27 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 95% of 128 at avg 70¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 7% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 16% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 14% (won 94% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 63% (won 99% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $295K | No $1.3K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $32K | Yes $277 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $26K | No $394 |