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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 87% (131–19, n=150) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | -$57K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 37% (46 of 126 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 95% of 128 at avg 70¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 7% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 16% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 14% (won 94% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 63% (won 99% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $407K | Yes $1.0K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $287K | No $1.8K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $33K | Yes $428 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $28K | No $114 |