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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1zxc368
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)no settled market
Consensus PnL$11.2M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)64% (127 of 200 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——Crypto ±0 pts, n=286
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%99% of 10860 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)1% (won 10% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)0% (won 82% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)0% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)99% (won 100% of 10766)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1zxc368
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $642KNo $6.5K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KOver $736