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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | zxc368 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $4.2M | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #739 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 63% (177 of 280 open) | 84% (38 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Crypto ±0 pts, n=286 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 10860 at avg 99¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 1% (won 10% of 77) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 0% (won 82% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 0% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 99% (won 100% of 10766) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.