← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | scrapbook | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) | 53% (156–140, n=296) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $14.8M | -$9.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #995 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (24 of 34 open) | 55% (16 of 29 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Economy −8 pts, n=32 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 47% of 331 at avg 41¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 38% (won 13% of 127) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 18% (won 48% of 61) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 27% (won 66% of 89) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 16% (won 91% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | scrapbook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $88K | — | Yes $105 |