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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1TheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)67% (182–89, n=271)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinnedwas PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus84% (26 of 31 open)64% (9 of 14 open)60% (44 of 73 open)51% (123 of 239 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%90% of 186 at avg 69¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)12% (won 36% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)14% (won 92% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)12% (won 96% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)62% (won 99% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1TheWindKnowsmyName
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3KRavens $560Jaguars $174—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407K——Yes $813
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $26KJaguars $19K—
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $9.7KJaguars $7.1K—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.0KOver $5.2K—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $601—Jaguars $3.2K—
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302—
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $20K—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5K—Warriors $510—
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $240—