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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankPolBanditprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)90% (79–9, n=88)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$43K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #885PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus79% (26 of 33 open)100% (2 of 2 open)60% (6 of 10 open)54% (44 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 82 at avg 92¢, ROI +6%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)0%41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)2% (won 50% of 2)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)98% (won 100% of 80)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankPolBanditprimmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837—Ravens $4Jaguars $2.2K
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K——Jaguars $5.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K——Jaguars $1.2K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $245
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $227
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $274
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $698Under $419
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $599Over $413
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92K——Ravens $1.9K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7K——Warriors $520
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293——Ravens $1.2K
Spread: James Madison (-16.5)
same side · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $450James Madison $95