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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankLooksMaxxingxRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)51% (894–864, n=1758)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$30K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #750PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (37 of 43 open)50% (4 of 8 open)51% (37 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +45 pts n=545, ROI +44%
  • NBA +49 pts n=32, ROI +45%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=212, ROI +40%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 868 at avg 55¢, ROI +43%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 39)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)24% (won 98% of 209)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)56% (won 99% of 482)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)16% (won 99% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankLooksMaxxingxRN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294K—Texans $8.5K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103K—76ers $1.0K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Packers $143K—Packers $489
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $104K—Packers $4.0K