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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankJesetradingprimm
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)74% (617–213, n=830)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$9.3K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #907PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)55% (11 of 20 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%72% of 407 at avg 67¢, ROI +3%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)22% (won 16% of 90)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)8% (won 42% of 33)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)6% (won 85% of 26)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)63% (won 94% of 258)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankJesetradingprimm
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $258KYes $10K—