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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 74% (623–217, n=840) | 50% (1106–1117, n=2223) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $8.3K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #905 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (24 of 34 open) | 64% (58 of 90 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (16 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 441 at avg 68¢, ROI +5% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 21% (won 15% of 92) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 8% (won 44% of 34) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 7% (won 87% of 31) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 64% (won 95% of 284) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $88K | Yes $9.4K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | Yes $275 | — | — |