← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 39% (3348–5208, n=8556) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | -$473K | $4.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #249 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 74% (562 of 756 open) | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=584 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 36% of 4042 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 56% (won 3% of 2267) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 4% (won 33% of 170) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 4% (won 48% of 166) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 36% (won 89% of 1439) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.