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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 40% (3386–5156, n=8542) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14128–15613, n=29741) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$465K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #273 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | 70% (360 of 513 open) | 73% (81 of 111 open) | 66% (21 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.