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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 39% (3364–5155, n=8519) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$465K | $5.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #246 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 67% (477 of 709 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (53 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.