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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | smoltrader | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6493–6083, n=12576) | 43% (905–1184, n=2089) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $38K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | was PM monthly #368 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 69% (218 of 317 open) | 100% (11 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Crypto −9 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 45% of 1470 at avg 45¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 48% (won 5% of 710) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 32% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 7% (won 66% of 106) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 38% (won 93% of 563) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | smoltrader |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Kings $134K | Spurs $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $403 | Lakers $7.2K | — |