← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6519–6017, n=12536) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 74% (191–66, n=257) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.5M | $3.6M | -$9.3K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #46 | was PM monthly #956 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | 69% (208 of 300 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (27 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 21% (won 4% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 4% (won 60% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 70% (won 96% of 171) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $94K | — | — | Yes $10K |