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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorppapaebal
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)80% (120–30, n=150)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #892
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)68% (220 of 324 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%92% of 132 at avg 53¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)9% (won 92% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)35% (won 93% of 46)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)38% (won 90% of 50)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorppapaebal
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $330KPacers $3.2K—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $29KPelicans $687—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $17KPelicans $916—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $343Pacers $252—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $283Pelicans $74—
Hawks vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2.8KHawks $4.8K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $944Pistons $672—