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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | papaebal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 46% (121–140, n=261) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $3.7M | $4.8M | $23K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #958 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 74% (292 of 396 open) | 72% (63 of 87 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 93% of 134 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 9% (won 92% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 35% (won 94% of 47) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 38% (won 90% of 51) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 18% (won 96% of 24) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | papaebal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $280K | — | Yes $11K | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $35K | Under $34K | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $578 | Under $6.4K | — |