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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1Newshound
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)63% (993–578, n=1571)57% (795–605, n=1400)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$4.8M$43K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #97was PM monthly #949
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)68% (231 of 339 open)71% (58 of 82 open)36% (22 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%72% of 1001 at avg 60¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)22% (won 24% of 222)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)13% (won 63% of 127)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)18% (won 77% of 179)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)47% (won 95% of 473)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1Newshound
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $595Under $6.6K—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
—Hull City AFC $2.5KHull City AFC $2.9K—