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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorplalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)74% (424–151, n=575)no settled market68% (304–140, n=444)
Consensus PnL$779K$46K—-$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #20PM monthly #735PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)79% (53 of 67 open)no open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)34% (won 10% of 30)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 29% of 17)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 55% of 11)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)34% (won 83% of 30)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorplalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
—Alex Michelsen $1.6K—Juan Manuel Cerundolo $2.2K
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Dusan Lajovic
opposite sides · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $96—Dusan Lajovic $6
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko
same side · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
—Alexander Shevchenko $2.1K—Alexander Shevchenko $7.9K
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme de Ravel
—Cosme de Ravel $348—Cosme de Ravel $3.2K