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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (3688–3676, n=7364)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$5.3M-$581K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #3PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)66% (131 of 198 open)0% (0 of 1 open)75% (9 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—MLB −6 pts, n=119
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%52% of 4813 at avg 49¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 23% of 628)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)44% (won 46% of 2128)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)29% (won 60% of 1403)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 81% of 654)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $228KYes $2.1M—
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—TheMongolz $2—MOUZ $178K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $735—Eagles $12K