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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjdfngkdjfnfdprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)44% (47–61, n=108)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M-$53K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #858PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)67% (213 of 317 open)100% (1 of 1 open)77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +5 pts n=47, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=23, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −11 pts, n=31—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%44% of 106 at avg 44¢, ROI −2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 31% of 13)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)56% (won 39% of 59)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)32% (won 59% of 34)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)0%5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjdfngkdjfnfdprimm
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $209Yes $5.0K—
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $5.1K