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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpgt7238ndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)43% (536–699, n=1235)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$16K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13was PM monthly #990PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)69% (263 of 379 open)0% (0 of 4 open)71% (58 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 456 at avg 52¢, ROI +48%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 100% of 32)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)49% (won 100% of 223)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 100% of 109)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)20% (won 100% of 92)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpgt7238ndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K——No $337K
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $14K—Under $31K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $578—Under $6.4K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
—Hull City AFC $2.5K—Hull City AFC $2.9K