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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpNOO-YesRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6403–5995, n=12398)33% (2–4, n=6)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.6M-$19K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11was PM monthly #417PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)75% (214 of 285 open)no open consensus position58% (68 of 117 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%33% of 6 at avg 37¢, ROI +1%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)33% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)33% (won 50% of 2)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)33% (won 50% of 2)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)0%33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpNOO-YesRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will Racing Club win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.0K—Yes $96
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.8K—Under $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.7K—No $877
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Will CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0K—Yes $318
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.2K—No $4
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $43
CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $337—Under $780
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $982—Over $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $529
Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $849—Under $1
Will FC Metz win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $661—Yes $163
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48—Over $727
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $211—No $436
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
—Facundo Acosta $558—Marco Cecchinato $9
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $419—No $78
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $353—Yes $5
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $54—Over $82
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $97—Over $13
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $11—No $15
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $16K—Yes $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $7.6K—Over $7.8K
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1K—No $13K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12K—Over $1.8K
Will CA Unión win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2K—No $9.4K
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
—Everton FC $7.2K—Everton FC $2.2K
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.2K—No $1.7K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.9K—Under $161
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5K—No $2.0K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $3.0K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Julia Riera $3.2K—Julia Riera $1.3K
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $2.5K
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $157—No $3.4K
Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $542—Over $2.4K
Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $928—Over $1.6K
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.9K—Under $2
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $323—Over $1.5K
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $219
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1K—Yes $419
Exact Score: Hammarby IF 0 - 1 IF Elfsborg?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $124
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $3