← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | J-E-R | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6475–6058, n=12533) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $42K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (28 of 35 open) | 70% (265 of 378 open) | 89% (65 of 73 open) | 72% (55 of 76 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | J-E-R | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $148K | Thunder $2.2K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $675 | Yes $1.8K |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $450 | Bucks $89 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $422 | Mavericks $15 | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | — | No $337K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $77K | — | Yes $2.3K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | No $22 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $14 | Jazz $750 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Timberwolves $167 | Timberwolves $122 | — | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $122 | Raptors $52 | — | — |