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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 25% (31–95, n=126) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.5M | $151K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #341 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 72% (167 of 232 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 41% (won 67% of 15) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 32% (won 92% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 16% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 11% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $66K | — | Yes $5.7K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | — | Yes $141K |