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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 76% (28–9, n=37) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $190K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #368 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 67% (151 of 225 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 100% (7 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $182K | — | Yes $5.5K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $75K | — | Yes $138K | — |