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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6618–6146, n=12764) | 25% (31–95, n=126) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $155K | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #337 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 76% (106 of 140 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HerbertAppreciator | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $59K | — | Yes $5.7K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $79K | — | Yes $143K | — |