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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Gdub | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 75% (549–184, n=733) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $13K | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 68% (217 of 321 open) | 83% (10 of 12 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Elections −1 pts, n=146 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 77% of 779 at avg 74¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 15% of 95) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 8% (won 41% of 59) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 9% (won 67% of 70) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 71% (won 93% of 555) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Gdub | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $330K | Pacers $3.6K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $258K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29K | Pelicans $708 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | Pelicans $930 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $343 | Pacers $326 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $283 | Pelicans $75 | — | — |
| Hawks vs. Wizards same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $2.8K | Hawks $4.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $944 | Pistons $672 | — | — |