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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | End123 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 65% (277–146, n=423) | 66% (901–474, n=1375) | 50% (20465–20314, n=40779) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | -$17K | $4.5M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #791 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (29 of 34 open) | 92% (36 of 39 open) | 73% (110 of 151 open) | 68% (42 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −18 pts, n=18 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 422 at avg 63¢, ROI −1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 14% (won 11% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 10% (won 42% of 43) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 31% (won 63% of 132) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 45% (won 86% of 190) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | End123 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $364 | No $505 | — |
| Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $149 | No $529 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $278K | — | Yes $11K | — |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? same side · consensus No | — | No $653 | No $243 | — |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $25 | Yes $257 | — |