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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDavidShekelomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)37% (379–648, n=1027)50% (15393–15458, n=30851)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$169K$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #372PM monthly #59PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (23 of 34 open)76% (35 of 46 open)54% (76 of 142 open)57% (16 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • F1 +21 pts n=89, ROI −13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=269, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=17——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)24% (won 18% of 136)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 76% of 34)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)15% (won 90% of 87)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)56% (won 99% of 321)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDavidShekelomnibus-076daaRN1
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
——Zongyu Li $3Anna Blinkova $40K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys
——Tommy Paul $26Quentin Halys $1.3K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $154—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278K—Yes $3—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
——Zeynep Sonmez $5.3KZeynep Sonmez $85K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22KYes $275——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K—Yes $215—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $5——
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
——Mai Hontama $68Mai Hontama $5.8K
Luanda: Kristina Kroitor vs Ksenia Zaytseva
same side · consensus Ksenia Zaytseva
——Ksenia Zaytseva $28Ksenia Zaytseva $5.6K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3K—Yes $64—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KYes $70——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $33—
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $364Yes $17——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—