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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCryptoSlonFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)no settled market52% (6475–6058, n=12533)
Consensus PnL$7.3M—$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #990PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)no open consensus position70% (248 of 353 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)—16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)—16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCryptoSlonFlaznorp
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $148K—Thunder $14K
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $367—Pelicans $1.7K
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Grizzlies $14K—Grizzlies $756
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $422—Jazz $227
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Timberwolves $167—Timberwolves $331
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $50—Grizzlies $350
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Raptors $122—Raptors $61